Wednesday, May 15, 2013

Washington Capitals: What is Russian for "Pinata?"

We would like to take you through another scribble that compares two individuals.  Both are hockey players, both come from the same part of the world, both are about the same age, the teams of each have been in the playoffs the past four years.  They even have similar individual post-season statistics:

  • Player 1: 11-21-32, even, 27 PIMs. 5 PPG, 2 GWG
  • Player 2: 16-15-31, even, 22 PIMs, 5 PPG, 2 GWG

Their teams have endured similar fates:

  • Player 1: 16-17 (games won/lost), 2-3 (series won/lost)
  • Player 2: 17-20 (games won/lost), 2-4 (series won/lost)

But Player 2 seems to invite a very different response to his individual performance than that of Player 1.  Some of the descriptions* of Player 2 include:

“...HIS history, HIS history is the same history. Whether we’re talking about Olympic competition or international competition, same thing, where HE comes up so short and then just offers excuse after excuse afterward.”

“...The greatest player in hockey had zero points in the final five games of this series. ZERO points… your conspiracy theory is to blame-deflect, it’s to distract attention from the most pertinent fact of this series: the greatest player came up small. He froze up on the ice.”

“...When someone starts whining about the officiating when he’s had a tough series without production and tries to point the finger away from himself, [it] just doesn’t sit well with hockey guys.”

“HE”…”the greatest player in hockey ( a line delivered with two scoops of sarcasm)”…the “whiner”… Caps fans have probably figured out that player as Alex Ovechkin.  He is “Player 2,” above.  But the player to whom he is compared here isn’t Sidney Crosby.  The narrative that is now set in concrete is that Crosby is a better player, a better leader, more accomplished in wins and losses on bigger stages, the very personification of “hockey virtues” in ways that Ovechkin is not.  No, the player to whom Ovechkin is compared here is another Pittsburgh Penguin, Evgeni Malkin, the one who “lives up to lofty standards” (ok, that’s a hometeam sentiment), and his “patience makes a difference” (ok, another home team sentiment).  The national media…not a peep.

It makes you think this isn’t even a Russian matter anymore (if it ever was).  This is a case of the Very Serious People in sports journalism needing to demonstrate their gravitas by engaging in something bordering on disgust over what it is that Alex Ovechkin does or says, on the ice or off.  And the jumping on with both feet is not contained to the usual suspects in the hockey media or sports talk television.  Even those who do have that gravitas hard earned from years of thoughtful commentary join in (in fairness, Tom Boswell spares no one, not even those of us who count themselves as fans of the Caps, and I find myself agreeing with a lot he said).  

Ovechkin did not help himself with unfortunate comments about the officiating in the series against the New York Rangers that concluded on Monday.  Raising the notion of some dark conspiracy to either extend that series or achieve a result favoring the Rangers is something no player should engage in, whether he believes it or not.  But that is at least as likely a reflection of bitterness over a tough loss as it might be one of the player’s character.

And we get that what passes for sports journalism on television, radio, or the Internet in 2013 is more cage match than reporting or informed opinion.  If you aren’t shouting or displaying attitude, no one is going to be listening or clicking.

Perhaps this is what goes with the territory of being a star.  Ovechkin isn’t the only player in professional sports who has incurred the wrath of the pundit class in sport journalism.  But in hockey, he seems to have become a magnet for broadsides of this nature.  It is hard to recall anyone at his level in North American sport upon whom so much invective has been heaped when still in his prime.

What makes this confounding is that he should be the target of this when hockey is, by its nature, as dependent on team effort as any team sport.  A star plays perhaps 20 minutes out of 60 a night and performs with four other skaters when he is on the ice, all of whom are ingredients to the star’s success.  Hockey acknowledges this fact with it prominent use of assists – primary and secondary – to award points.

And it is not as if he is the only “star” to have underperformed in the playoffs.  Just looking at the Hart Trophy winners since Ovechkin last won the trophy in 2009, Henrik Sedin is 2-6-8 in his last nine playoff games covering two series, both of which the Vancouver Canucks lost.  Corey Perry is 2-8-10 in his last 13 playoff games over two series, both of which the Anaheim Ducks lost.  And there is Malkin, who is having a fine 2013 post season (3-10-13 in seven games), but his Penguin teams still have underperformed relative to the often cited “expectations.” 

Even Sidney Crosby, who is 12-24-36 in his last 25 playoff games, captained a team that lost to lower-seeded teams in two series and was pushed to seven games by a spunky, but heavily overmatched (on paper) New York Islander team in the first round of this season’s playoffs.  There is no talk of Crosby being all about numbers in his last three playoff appearances, despite his team not performing appreciably better than Ovechkin’s.  On the other hand, when it was Ovechkin who had the numbers (folks might forget that he was 25-25-50 in his first 37 career playoff games), it was about his team (and by extension him) losing.

Those who are inclined to see the worst in Ovechkin will consider this an “apology” for Ovechkin’s performance and behavior.  You are entitled to that opinion.  The fact is, Ovechkin did underperform, and his comments were impolitic and immature at the very least (although kudos to Capitals general manager George McPhee for having his player’s back).  He might, as teammate Mike Ribeiro put it, “still [be] a young player who has a lot to learn about the game and how to play it.”  And the clock is ticking – loudly – on his ever winning a championship.  But the unvarnished glee, the posed indignation, the “I can top that” tirades used to denigrate his play or impugn his character lack any sense of proportion. 

Ovechkin’s teams have a history of underperforming in the post-season, and as the star he is going to be the lightning rod for that.  It might not be fair, but it is life.  However, it also seems to be his lot in life that the teams on which he plays are not deep enough, talented enough, or even lucky enough to beat or surpass in terms of achievement those of Crosby (whose Penguins teams were and are more talented and deeper than the Caps, and whose 2010 Canadian Olympic team that bested Ovechkin's Russian Olympic team was one of the most loaded collections of talent since the Olympics started permitting professionals to play).  In that respect, Ovechkin will get no quarter from his critics.  The only way he will silence them is to win.


* Dan Steinberg of the Washington Post compiled this greatest hits package on his “D.C. Sports Bog” at the Washington Post.




Washington Capitals: A Short Tale of Two Eras

"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way- in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only."

-- Charles Dickens, "A Tale of Two Cities"

Today's scribble has to do with history, a tale of two eras in Capitals history to be more precise.  Caps fans might not know this, but with the end of the 2013 season, the second of two 15-year eras came to a close.  They look a lot like one another...

The Age of Poile (1982-1983 through 1996-1997):
  • 15 seasons
  • 3 coaches
  • 1,180 regular season games
  • Win-loss-T/OTL record of 594-454-132
  • 4,180 goals scored for, 3,719 goals scored against (per game: 3.54 - 3.15)
  • 14 playoff appearances
  • 8 first round playoff exits
  • 5 second round playoff exits
  • 1 conference final
  • Playoff win-loss record (games): 52-64
  • Playoff win-loss record (series): 7-14
  • Playoff Game 7 Record: 1-4

The Age of McPhee (1997-1998 through 2012-2013):
  • 15 seasons
  • 6 coaches
  • 1,196 regular season games
  • Win-loss-T/OTL record of 575-458-163
  • 3,416 goals scored, 3,396 goals against (per game: 2.86 - 2.84)
  • 10 playoff appearances
  • 6 first round exits
  • 3 second round exits
  • 1 Stanley Cup final
  • Playoff win-loss record (games): 41-48 (correction: 44-52)
  • Playoff win-loss record (series): 6-10
  • Playoff Game 7 Record: 2-5

Thirty years of same.  It almost feels less like the era in which Dickens wrote, or even this one, and more like the Cretaceous period.  It makes one long for an asteroid to make an appearance.

(information obtained from hockeydb.com, Washington Capitals 2012-2013 Media Guide)

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

NHL Eastern Conference Quarterfinals -- Game 7: Rangers 5 - Capitals 0

If you are going to run a team out of the building, make sure you push them past the exits.  If you don’t, you risk being in a world of hurt when the momentum fades.

And thus did it happen to the Washington Capitals as they fell to the New York Rangers, 5-0, in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference quarterfinals at Verizon Center on Monday night.  The 5-0 score was the worst defeat the Caps suffered in a playoff game since losing to Pittsburgh, 7-1, in Game 6 of the first round of the 2000 Stanley Cup playoffs.  It was the most lopsided Game 7 loss in team history.

It did not start that way.  The Caps owned the first 13 minutes of the game, outshooting the Rangers, 9-5, and out-attempting the visitors by a 22-12 margin.  And as if to punctuate the manner in which the Capitals were dominating play, Alex Ovechkin recorded five hits in those first 13 minutes, and the Caps enjoyed a 12-4 edge in faceoffs.

Then, the Rangers scored a goal.  It happened as it so often does, with not one, but two missed chances at the other end by the Caps just before the Rangers converted.  Mike Green broke behind Anton Stralman to collect a loose puck and skate in alone on goalie Henrik Lundqvist on a semi-breakaway.  Lundqvist stopped Green’s drive with his right pad.  Green slid into the end boards, but from his side he flicked the puck in front. Lundqvist got just enough of his stick on it to alter its direction before Tom Wilson could bury it on the follow up.  The Rangers broke back in numbers, Chris Kreider dropping the puck for Asham just inside the Caps’ blue line.  Asham stepped in and snapped a shot past Braden Holtby, and the well-crafted momentum the Caps built in the first 13 minutes was gone.

The Caps would never get it back.  In the next 47 minutes they would manage 47 shot attempts (26 on goal), but none would get past Lundqvist, while the Rangers rode the efforts of the lesser known lights on their roster – Taylor Pyatt, Michael Del Zotto, and Mats Zuccarello, with a goal by Ryan Callahan thrown in – to make the eagerly anticipated contest turn into a chamber of horrors for Holtby, the Caps, and their fans.  When it was finally over, the Rangers had a ticket to the second round, and the Capitals ended their season in the first round of the post-season for the 14th time in 24 playoff appearances.

Other stuff...

-- Before tonight the Caps appeared in 11 Game 7’s in club history, and in eight of those instances the game ended in a one-goal decision.  In fact, the Caps had never played anything but one-goal decisions in Game 7’s against teams other than the Pittsburgh Penguins.  Until tonight.

-- Alex Ovechkin had a shot on goal at the 13:54 mark of the first period.  It would be his only shot on goal for the game.

-- Nicklas Backstrom did not record his first shot on goal until the 17:44 mark of the second period.  By that time, the Rangers had a 3-0 lead.

-- In one of the more bizarre turns of this game, Karl Alzner led the team in shots on goal with five.  It tied a career high (set on April 16th against Toronto) and set a career post-season high.

-- Braden Holtby would end this series with consistency issues.  In four games he allowed one or no goals, and in three others he allowed four or more.  He allowed five on 27 shots tonight.

-- Much will be written in the days to come about the shortcomings of the top line in this game and this series, but the second line was brutal.  Mike Ribeiro, Eric Fehr, and Troy Brouwer combined for five shots on goal, but the killer was Ribeiro and Fehr being on ice for four of the five Rangers goals, and Brouwer being on for three.

-- Amazingly enough, the Caps were 21-for-32 on offensive zone draws (65.6 percent).  They could generate no offense off their good fortune, though.

-- Alex Ovechkin (13 hits) and Mike Ribeiro (5) combined for almost half the total number of hits for the team (39).  They combined for four shots on goal.  A hundred times out of a hundred, that’s the wrong order of those numbers.

-- Speaking of which, ten skaters had more hits than shots on goal.  They needed to make things tougher on Henrik Lundqvist than that.

-- There might have been one Cap who played past expectations in this one – Tom Wilson.  In nine minutes, two shots on goal (four attempts), three hits, and a takeaway.

-- Seven Rangers scored either their first point or their first goal of the series in this game (Kreider, Pyatt, Del Zotto, Eminger, Zuccarello, Dorsett, Callahan).  

In the end, it is too soon to render a verdict on this season.  We will do that in the days to come.  But this team lacked discipline in this game.  Not the discipline to avoid taking penalties, but the discipline to play hard, consistent, and relentlessly over 60 minutes.  Tonight they were the equivalent of a Roman candle -- a lot of light and noise for a short time, then…silence.  It was not the referees, it was not the back-to-back games, it was not even as much the Rangers.

It was themselves.


Monday, May 13, 2013

Capitals vs. Rangers: Seeing is Believing







Capitals vs. Rangers -- "tennnn-HUT!"


Now, I want you to remember that no bastard ever won a hockey game by taking a penalty for his team. He won it by making the other poor dumb bastard take a penalty for his team. Men, all this stuff you’ve heard about the Caps not wanting to fight, wanting to stay out of the contest, is a lot of horse dung. Caps traditionally love to fight. All real Caps love the sting of battle.
When you were kids, you all admired the champion marble shooter, the fastest runner, the big league ball player, the toughest boxer. Caps fans love a winner and will not tolerate a loser. Caps play to win all the time. I wouldn’t give a hoot in hell for a man who lost...and laughed. That’s why Caps have never lost and will never lose a game. Because the very thought of losing is hateful to Capitals.
Now... hockey club is a team. It lives, eats, sleeps, checks as a team. This individuality stuff is a bunch of crap. The bilious bastards who wrote that stuff about individuality for ESPN don’t know anything more about real hockey games than they do about fornicating.
We have the finest food and equipment, the best spirit and the best men in the world. You know, by God I actually pity those poor bastards we’re going up against. By God, I do. We’re not just going to check the bastards, we’re going to cut out their living guts and use them to tape the blades of our sticks. We’re going to hit those lousy Ranger bastards by the bushel.
Now, some of you boys, I know, are wondering whether or not you'll chicken out under fire. Don't worry about it. I can assure you that you will all do your duty. The Rangers are the enemy. Wade into them. Spill their blood. Check them into the boards. When you put your hand into a bunch of goo that a moment before was your linemate's face, you'll know what to do.
Now there’s another thing I want you to remember. I don’t want to get any messages saying that we are holding our position. We’re not holding anything. Let New York do that. We are advancing constantly and we’re not interested in holding onto anything except the enemy. We're going to hold onto him by the nose and we're going to kick him in the ass. We're going to kick the hell out of him all the time and we're gonna go through him like crap through a goose.
There’s one thing that you men will be able to say when you get back home. And you may thank God for it. Thirty years from now when you’re sitting around your fireside with your grandson on your knee and he asks you what did you do in the great Stanley Cup playoffs, you won’t have to say, "Well, I shoveled shit in DC."
Alright now, you sons-of-bitches, you know how I feel. Oh...and I will be proud to lead you wonderful guys into battle – anytime, anywhere.
That’s all.

Sunday, May 12, 2013

The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!! -- Eastern Conference Quarterfinals Game 7: Rangers at Capitals

The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!

Maybe this is how it was meant to be. For the third time in four playoff series spanning five seasons, the Washington Capitals and the New York Rangers will play a seventh game in their rite of spring.  If you want to relive the ecstasy and the agony of the first two Game 7’s in this recent history, you can do so here and here.

The Caps have a long, sad history in Game 7’s of playoff series.  Overall they are 3-8 in 11 tries at this sort of thing, 2-6 on home ice.  The Caps are 1-1 against the Rangers, winning on home ice in 2009, losing in New York in 2012.  And frankly, there probably isn’t much to be gleaned from either of those games.  The 2009 game involved a very different set of characters, especially for the Rangers, and the 2012 game involved a very different sort of coach and style for the Caps than what they now have.

We are left more to ponder what it is about the Caps in Game 7’s that might be important.  The first thing to notice is that four of the last five Game 7’s, dating back to that 2009 win over the Rangers, have ended in 2-1 scores.  Let us leave out the outlier – the 6-2 loss to Pittsburgh in Game 7 of the 2009 Eastern Conference semifinals – and focus on those four games.

-- Scoring first has not been essential, but scoring early has been for the Caps.  In their two 2-1 wins they scored first period goals.  And even though in one of them (the 2009 game against the Rangers) they allowed the first goal, being tied or ahead at the first intermission is perhaps a different animal than being behind after 20 minutes, as they were in the two 2-1 losses. 

-- The Caps have not enjoyed much in terms of benefit of the doubt from officials in this series (14 power play opportunities, third fewest of all playoff teams).  Don’t expect this to change.  In the four 2-1 Game 7’s the Caps had a total of seven power play chances, only one in each of their last two Game 7’s.

-- The Caps are a combined 0-for-7 on the power play over those four Game 7’s, misfiring on all 11 shots they took. 

-- Conversely, the penalty kill was tested only sporadically over those four games, the Caps were 8-for-9.  That power play goal allowed was huge, though.  It gave the Montreal Canadiens the first goal and a lead they would not relinquish in a 2-1 win over the Caps in Game 7 of the 2010 Eastern quarters.

-- If history is a guide the Caps will not get a lot of chances.  They did throw 42 shots at Jaroslav Halak in the 2010 Game 7 against Montreal but other than that – 24 shots against New York in 2009 (two goals), 27 against Boston in Round 1 last spring (two goals), and 23 shots against the Rangers in the Eastern semis last spring (one goal).

-- In the four Game 7’s, the big guns for the Caps were silent.  Alex Ovechkin: 0-1-1; Mike Green: 0-1-1; Nicklas Backstrom: 0-1-1.  Of players who have appeared for the Caps in this series, only Matt Hendricks and Joel Ward have Game 7 goals in any of the four of these Game 7’s ending in 2-1 scores, both coming in Game 7 of last spring’s series win over Boston.

-- Shots against have not mattered for the Caps, although the shots do break down into two distinct parts.  The Caps held the Rangers to 15 shots in their Game 7 win in 2009 and the Canadiens to 16 in their Game 7 loss in 2010.  But in the game 7’s of 2012 – both of which featured Braden Holtby in goal for the Caps – Washington allowed Boston 32 shots in their first round Game 7 win and the Rangers 31 in their Game 7 loss in Round 2.  The question there was whether or not that was a product of a much more passive style employed by then head coach Dale Hunter.

In the end, what does it all mean?  For the Caps, it is the what was not there in those four tight Game 7’s that could spell the difference in this one.  We assume that it will be another tight game, of course, but whether it is one goal in the Caps favor or one on the wrong side of the decision could come down to these factors…

  • Power Play… No power play goals in any of the four 2-1 decisions.  If they get one, it will be big.  Even in the context of this series, when a team gets a power play goal, they win.  Of course, that means…
  • Power Play Opportunities… In the four 2-1 decisions those opportunities – for both sides – have been at a premium, only seven for the Caps, nine for their opponents.  In none of those games did either the Caps or their opponents get more than three opportunities.
  • Taking a lead… In three of the four 2-1 decisions the Caps allowed the first goal and were 1-2 in those games.  The Caps had to go to overtime to do it, but in the one game in which they took – and held – a lead in the first period, they won.
  • Big Guns… Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, Mike Green – no goals scored by any of them in the four 2-1 decisions.  In this series the trio has four of the 12 goals scored by the Caps, but none since Game 3, and Ovechkin has not had a goal since Game 1.  This group has to be heard from in this game.
  • Shots…The Caps did not get a lot of opportunities in the four Game 7’s chronicled here, but they have been able to get shots to the net in this series, averaging almost 32 a game through six games.  If they suddenly struggle in this regard, it will not look good for the home team.

But here is the one number that will hover over this game: zero.  The New York Rangers have never won a Game 7 on the road, going 0-5 in those games, including the 2-1 loss to the Caps in 2009.*  Except for the loss to the Caps in 2009, each of those losses was to the eventual Stanley Cup winner.  On Monday night, the streak will continue.

Capitals 2 – Rangers 1


*  If you’re wondering, the Rangers lost at Boston in 1939, 2-1, in three overtimes; they lost at Detroit in 1950, 4-3, in two overtimes; they lost in 1974 at Philadelphia, 4-3; they lost at Pittsburgh in 1992, 5-1; and they lost in Washington to the Caps in 2009.



NHL Eastern Conference Quarterfinals -- Game 6: Rangers 1 - Capitals 0

There will be a Game 7.

The home team won for the sixth time in the Eastern Conference quarterfinal series between the Washington Capitals and the New York Rangers when the Rangers held off the Capitals, 1-0, at Madison Square Garden on Sunday afternoon.

One was all the Rangers needed in this one, thanks to a 27-save effort by goalie Henrik Lundqvist, who earned his seventh career playoff shutout.  Derick Brassard scored the game’s only goal mid-way through the second period, when from his perch at the top of the offensive zone he let fly with a slap shot that might have hit two Capitals on its way to the net before bending down and under goalie Braden Holtby’s glove into the back of the net.  It might have avoided Jason Chimera out front, but it certainly seemed to hit defenseman Steve Oleksy’s arm on its way to the net. 

And so, the hockey gods smiled on the Rangers.  The Capitals could not solve Henrik Lundqvist on any of their 27 shots, and it set up a seventh game at Verizon Center on Monday night.

Other stuff…

-- The hockey gods were not the only ones smiling on the Rangers in this game.  The Rangers were not charged with any infractions until the teams had a full-on scrum at the conclusion of the game.  It was the first time that the Caps did not have a single power play in a playoff game since Game 7 of the Eastern Conference semifinals against Pittsburgh in 2009.

-- Meanwhile, the Rangers enjoyed five power plays over a 43 minute stretch from mid-way in the first period to mid-way in the third.  In three games in New York, the Rangers had 15 power plays to the Caps’ five.

-- And for those of you wondering... Rule 52.1 states: "Slew-footing is the act of a player using his leg or foot to knock or kick an opponent’s feet from under him, or pushes an opponent’s upper body backward with an arm or elbow, and at the same time with a forward motion of his leg, knocks or kicks the opponent’s feet from under him, causing him to fall violently to the ice."


...Having done it poorly (Dorsett was the one who tumbled to the ice) makes no difference.  Coming as it did near the boards, it was a dangerous play. 

-- Alex Ovechkin had picked the wrong time to go cold.  This was his fourth straight game without a point, his longest streak of the season and his longest since going four games without a point from November 12 through November 19th in the 2011-2012 season.

-- And there is a difference between “cold” and “playing poorly” (not that the usual talking heads will acknowledge it).  Twelve shot attempts, five on goal, three hits, two blocked shots.  If there was a surprising number in there, it was 19:03 – his time on ice.  But then again, that’s what having no power plays will do.  Only Mike Green had more time on ice in this game (23:40, like Ovechkin all at even-strength).

-- If you are wondering, the Caps have gone into a Game 7 five times in team history having lost Game 6.  They have one win in those instances, that one coming last year in the Eastern Conference quarterfinal series against Boston.

-- There were 22 faceoffs in the Capitals’ end of the ice, 11 in the Rangers’ end.  A lot of that was the power play differential, but some of it was the territorial advantage the Rangers had in this game, too.

-- Of those 11 offensive zone faceoffs, the Caps won three, only one of those wins coming in the third period (1-for-4).

-- Tom Wilson played only 5:12 in this game, only one shift in the third period (that lasting one second).  Part of that was his having an equipment problem, but we wonder if the spare ice time is having effects on how the third and fourth lines are assembled over the course of a game and the effects on continuity.

-- A curious dynamic on the Ranger side…Brad Richards getting only 9:34 of ice time and only two shifts in the third period.  He hasn’t played well in this series, but this seemed to be an odd time to be sending a message to Richards, if that was what was going on.  Of course, if Richards has a big Game 7, John Tortorella will look like a genius.

-- You would not think energy would be an issue in Game 7, but the way ice time was parceled in Game 6 among the players of each team does raise the question with the second half of a back to back coming up.  The Rangers had two forwards with fewer than five minutes of ice time – Chris kreider and Arron Asham.  That meant guys like Ryan Callahan (22:22) and Derek Stepan (23:27) were out past their usual bedtime in terms of ice time.

So, another Game 7.  It is not what we prognosticated, but this will be the seventh time in the last nine playoff series for the Caps that they will face a Game 7.  It is not exactly a surprise.  If there is a ray of sunshine to take out of this game it is that the Caps did not play especially well, got no benefit of the doubt in the way the game was called, gave up a bit of a fluky goal, and still lost by only the thinnest of margins.  But thin margins are a staple of playoff hockey, and the Caps find themselves too often on the wrong side of them.  They have one more chance to make things right, or spend another off-season wondering, “what if?”

The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!! -- Eastern Conference Quarterfinals Game 6: Capitals at Rangers

The Peerless Prognosticator is ON THE AIR!!!

The Washington Capitals take their last trip to New York this season to take on the New York Rangers in Game 6 of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal series holding a 3-2 lead in games and with a chance to close out the series.

It has been a long time since the Caps closed out a playoff series in six games, but that is their task for Sunday evening.  The last time the Caps turned the trick was in 1998 when they did it twice, beating the Boston Bruins in Boston on an overtime goal by Brian Bellows, and again when they beat the Buffalo Sabres on an overtime goal by Joé Juneau to send the Caps to their first and, to date, only trip to the Stanley Cup finals.  If coincidences are your thing, both of those wins were earned on the road.

If you are looking at games of more recent vintage, in this era of Caps playoff teams (2008-to-present) the Caps are 4-2 in Game 6’s.  In the two games in which they could have closed out a series with a win in Game six and did not, the Caps are 1-1 in the ensuing Game 7’s, losing to Montreal in 2010 after losing Game 6 in Montreal, and beating Boston in Game 7 in Boston after losing Game 6 at home to the Bruins.

This Game 6 will be the 25th post-season game played between these two teams since 2009.  The Caps currently have a 14-10 win-loss record over that span of games against the Rangers.  Some things to think about from that history…

-- For the Caps, the guys you would expect to be the big scorers are just that. Alex Ovechkin is 11-8-19 in 24 games, Mike Green is 4-12-16, and Nicklas Backstrom is 2-13-15.  If there is one player missing whose production might have been helpful, well, that is where Alexander Semin comes in.  He was 8-5-13 in 19 games against the Rangers in this post-season history.

-- For the Rangers, one is struck by the turnover in players.  Only five skaters from the 2011 club that lost to the Caps in five games have appeared in this series – Dan Girardi, Ryan McDonagh, Brian Boyle, Derek Stepan, and Mats Zuccarello.  Marc Staal, who was also on that squad, has not yet appeared in this series.  Of that group of six players, only Staal recorded a point in the 2011 series, an assist.

-- The situation is reversed in goal.  The Rangers have known only one goaltender to earn a decision in this series.  Henrik Lundqvist is 10-14 against the Caps since 2009 with a 2.26 goals-against average and a .919 save percentage with one shutout.  You would have to go back to 2009 to find another goaltender who appeared for the Rangers, that being Steve Valiquette, who saw 40 minutes of action over two games.

-- Then there are the Caps.  Washington has employed four different goaltenders in this series since 2009
  • Jose Theodore: 0-1, 4.07, .810
  • Semyon Varlamov: 4-2, 1.17, .952, 2 shutouts
  • Michal Neuvirth, 4-1, 1.37, .946, 1 shutout
  • Braden Holtby, 6-6, 1.91, .931, 1 shutout

Where are we going with this?  We are thinking this game is going to turn on the battle between familiar foes – Henrik Lundqvist against Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom, and Mike Green.  Lundqvist has not been exactly leak-free in New York, either in this series (2-0, 3.00, .902) or in the series since 2009 (7-4, 2.59, .910).  What Lundqvist does have, though, is four straight wins against the Caps on home ice in the playoffs.

On the other hand, the Caps are going to have to get more out of their Big Three as a group.  Mike Green had a point in each of the first four games of the series (2-2-4), but was held off the scoreboard in Game 4.  He is 2-3-5 in 11 playoff games at Madison Square Garden since 2009.  Nicklas Backstrom has a goal in two games at MSG in this series, and he is 1-6-7 in 11 playoff games there since 2009, half of his assists coming in his first playoff game there in 2009.  Alex Ovechkin does not have a point in either game in New York in this series and has not scored a playoff goal in the Garden since getting the game-winner in Game 2 of last spring’s series against the Rangers.  Overall he is 4-4-8 in 11 games on Ranger ice since 2009.

Ultimately, that battle between old foes could turn on the power play.  The team scoring a power play goal has won each game of the series this year.  This is where the Caps have some work to do.  In 11 games at Madison Square Garden in the playoffs since 2009 the Caps are 7-for-38 with the man advantage (18.4 percent).  However, they are only 3-for-24 in their last eight games there (12.5 percent).

When the series started we wrote…
“This will be a hard-fought series, as have the three been that preceded it.  But while this will be no five-game romp for the Caps as it was in 2011, neither will it be the seven-game series that sandwiched that 2011 series… Capitals in six.”

It has been a hard-fought series, and we have seen nothing to change our minds about the outcome.  This game will be in the hands of the stars for each team, and it will be the guys in white who will do the celebrating.

Capitals 3 – Rangers 2

Saturday, May 11, 2013

Caps vs. Rangers -- Torts' Shorts, Game 5

It was another disappointing night for the Rangers and their head coach, John Tortorella.  It was disappointing for those of us compiling the “Torts’ Shorts,” too.  We keep waiting for the headmaster to descend into a sputtering, fire-breathing swirl of hate.  But thus far he has been measured, reasonable, affable…in other words, “BOH-rinnnnnnnnng”…

“…the second period, neither team developed a whole bunch.  They scored on a power play, but for our team, yeah, it did go downhill.  Had a couple of chances in overtime; third period we didn’t have much…that’s the way it worked out.”

-- answering whether he was disappointed that the Rangers didn’t have as many scoring chances later as they had early in the game.


“I’m not critiquing players…”

-- responding to a question about what he saw out of Rick Nash


“It’s a dumb penalty, and you don’t kill those off.  It just happens that way in our game.  That’s a guy that’s playing really well for us, but it’s a dumb penalty.”

-- on the penalty Brian Boyle took, slashing Mike Ribeiro, that led to the Caps’ game-tying power play goal.


“I don’t consider it an elimination game; we’re trying to win one game.  I’m not even going to use that word.  Again, we have bounced back.  Guys that haven’t been in it, it’s an opportunity.  That’s the way they have to look at it.  So we’ll go home and try to win a game.”

-- on the Rangers facing elimination in Game 6

Coach was calm, patient, forthcoming.  Not entertaining to beat writers, perhaps (at least the ones to whom his ire is not directed), or those of us engaged in rib-poking, but he’s been almost…nice.  We have to think other things were on his mind, though…











Laugh, clown,
at your broken love!
Laugh at the grief that poisons your heart!


One can only hope it is the Rangers feeling that grief come Sunday evening.  But in the meantime, on the Tort-o-Meter of Surliness, Coach gets a…

2







NHL Eastern Conference Quarterfinals -- Game 5: Capitals 2 - Rangers 1 (OT)


There will be another game at Verizon Center this season.

Oh, it might not be in this series, but there will be another home game.  The Washington Capitals saw to that last night with a 2-1 overtime win over the New York Rangers in Game 5 of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal series.

Mike Ribeiro sent Caps fans out into the night in a delirious state of mind when he swatted home a rebound of a Karl Alzner shot 9:24 into the extra session on a play that had the eerie look to it of another overtime playoff winner many years ago. 

The play started with Karl Alzner and Mike Green exchanging passes at the top of the Rangers’ zone.  Alzner fed the puck to Green at the right point, and Green fired a shot that took a bite out of Ranger defenseman Ryan McDonagh.  The puck ricocheted to the stick of Ranger Derick Brassard, but his weak clearing attempt was gloved down by Green, who slid the puck over to Alzner.  Brassard tried to jump out to block the shot Alzner was winding up for, but Alzner’s shot sailed past Brassard’s right leg.  The puck hit Troy Brouwer’s skate and deflected to the doorstep to the left of goalie Henrik Lundqvist.  With Lundqvist down from trying to defend the Alzner shot, Ribeiro had an open left side of the net to shoot at, and he swiped it in from the same spot of the ice as the finish of another playoff ending from the Caps’ past…





Other stuff…

-- The game-winning goal was due, in no small part, to the reach of Eric Fehr.  When the puck caromed off the left wing boards in the Ranger end, Fehr beat Anton Stralman to the puck with his long reach and one handed the biscuit out of Stralman’s grasp.  That small play was the start of the unfolding of the last sequence.

-- Score power play goal, win game.  That, as much as the home-cooking advantage, has been the trend in this series.  In the three games in which the Caps outscored the Rangers, 1-0, on the power play, they won.  In the two in which the Rangers held that 1-0 advantage in power play goals, they won.

-- Speaking of which, the small things matter, Part I.  The Rangers won the faceoff following a penalty to Brian Boyle for slashing Ribeiro.  But Dan Girardi whiffed on his clearing attempt, and that allowed Marcus Johansson to slip past Girardi to control the puck and set up behind the Ranger net.

-- The small things matter, Part II.  The Caps power play goal will be remembered for the slick passing from Johansson from behind the Ranger net to Nicklas Backstrom at the right wing wall, back to Johansson, who sent a touch pass to Joel Ward in the high slot for the shot and the goal.  But the small thing that opened up Ward was perhaps this…


…Ryan Callahan guarding against the pass across the slot for the one-timer from Alex Ovechkin.  The captain did not register a point in this game, but he provided an effective decoy on this play.

-- Give Braden Holtby credit.  When the Rangers scored on their first shot of the game 53 seconds in, this could have gotten ugly quickly, especially given the circumstances of the goal.  The Caps got caught running around and chasing the Rangers in their own end and were in no position to do anything about Brian Boyle knifing to the slot to convert a feed from Brassard.  But Holtby was solid thereafter, stopping the last 24 shots off Ranger sticks.

-- And give the defense credit, too.  The Caps had those early jitters, but they clamped down hard on the Blueshirts, finishing the game with having allowed only 25 shots through in more than 69 minutes. 

-- Part of that was having to block 30 shots.  Matt Hendricks, who does not yet have a point in this series, was a shot-blocking machine last night, turning away seven Ranger shots in just 9:12 of ice time. 

-- Tom Wilson got his first taste of NHL action, getting 6:24 of ice time in eight shifts.  A shot on goal, a takeaway, and four hits.  Not a bad baptism.

-- We noted that the Caps were getting creamed in offensive zone draws in this series.  They were a little better last night (12-for-27, 44.4 percent), but it still needs work.

-- It might not be the best time to note this but… the second line of Ribeiro, Fehr, and Troy Brouwer had only five shots on goal in 69 minutes, Brouwer getting three of them.  Ribeiro had only one…the game-winning one.

-- Goal scorers are a streaky lot.  Last night Ovechkin had nine shots on goal without finding the back of the net with one.  It was the most shots on goal he recorded this season without getting a goal.  It was the most shots he recorded without a goal since going 0-for-10 in a 3-2 win over Carolina on November 24, 2010.  But he had three assists in that game.  It was the most shots on goal he had without a point since he went 0-for-10 and pointless in a 7-2 win over the New York Islanders on January 26, 2010.

In the end, the Caps ground one out.  It was not dominating from an offensive standpoint, but the defense seemed to get stronger as the game went on.  It is something to build on going into Game 6, at Madison Square Garden, where the Caps have not won a non-Gimmick game since Game 2 of last spring’s playoff series between these two teams.  Caps fans might remember that the game-winning goal in that game was scored by Alex Ovechkin.  It would be nice to repeat that history, just as last night’s game winner repeated some happy history for the Caps.